REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

Taylor Larimore · Post by **Taylor Larimore** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:24 pm

Bogleheads:

Welcome to the 2019 Boglehead Contest designed to demonstrate how difficult it is to forecast future stock prices.

Rules
* Forecast (below) the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2019.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight EDT, January 10, 2019.

The winner of the 2019 Boglehead Contest will receive their choice of any one book written by Jack Bogle (12) and their choice of any one Boglehead Book (3).

Happy New Year!

Taylor and Ralph Aversen

[edited thread title to show the entry period has expired - moderator prudent]

stlutz · Post by **stlutz** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:25 pm

2506.85

Triple digit golfer · Post by **Triple digit golfer** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:25 pm

2,005.48

02nz · Post by **02nz** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:26 pm

2605.58

theduke · Post by **theduke** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:26 pm

2673.61

The Wizard · Post by **The Wizard** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:28 pm

My guess is 2697.37, which is 7.6% above 2018's close...

k66 · Post by **k66** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:30 pm

865.25

tomd37 · Post by **tomd37** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:31 pm

2540.19

JMacDonald · Post by **JMacDonald** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:32 pm

2692.36

Tristan · Post by **Tristan** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:33 pm

2622.99

Tourne · Post by **Tourne** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:34 pm

2674.74

Therapist Investor · Post by **Therapist Investor** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:36 pm

2615.37

Midnight Schooner · Post by **Midnight Schooner** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:36 pm

2931.44

Post by **Mel Lindauer** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:38 pm

Hindsight is 2020.20

KarenC · Post by **KarenC** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:38 pm

2360.00

EyeYield · Post by **EyeYield** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

3111.11

nedsaid · Post by **nedsaid** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

3200 for the S&P 500 on closing day for 2019.

latebloomer2 · Post by **latebloomer2** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

2706.48

quantAndHold · Post by **quantAndHold** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:42 pm

2601.04

MP1233 · Post by **MP1233** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:43 pm

2932.05

SerenityBlue · Post by **SerenityBlue** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:44 pm

1920.03

abner kravitz · Post by **abner kravitz** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:44 pm

2807.00

ge1 · Post by **ge1** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:48 pm

1780.

GerryL · Post by **GerryL** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:50 pm

2531.92 (Not succumbing to wishful thinking.)

Johnsson · Post by **Johnsson** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:52 pm

3127.57

JamalJones · Post by **JamalJones** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2019 S&P 500 value at year end: 2218.56

CABob · Post by **CABob** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2626.26
I'm on a streak of bad guesses.

DesertDiva · Post by **DesertDiva** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2548.9

tuningfork · Post by **tuningfork** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:54 pm

2567.89

qwertyjazz · Post by **qwertyjazz** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:54 pm

2249 close

Artful Dodger · Post by **Artful Dodger** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:55 pm

2700

Happy New Year!

TheAccountant · Post by **TheAccountant** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:56 pm

1806.85

pfrank · Post by **pfrank** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:56 pm

2830.1

Johnny Sharp · Post by **Johnny Sharp** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:57 pm

2732

Johnny

Kahuna · Post by **Kahuna** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:58 pm

2628.98

vitaflo · Post by **vitaflo** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:01 pm

2222.22

AQ · Post by AQ » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:02 pm

2712.02

Scooter57 · Post by **Scooter57** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:04 pm

1905

Since I'm always wrong when I guess anything this should ensure we all have a prosperous year.

dreamrrr · Post by **dreamrrr** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:05 pm

2801.0

Compound · Post by **Compound** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:05 pm

2323.23

fanmail · Post by **fanmail** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:07 pm

2716.50

5th_Dimension · Post by **5th_Dimension** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:09 pm

2806.72

TdF fan · Post by **TdF fan** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:11 pm

1642.33

spin_echo · Post by **spin_echo** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:11 pm

2400.42

Texgal17 · Post by **Texgal17** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm

2915.29

tooluser · Post by **tooluser** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm

3033.33

warowits · Post by **warowits** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm

2950.10

miasma · Post by **miasma** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:17 pm

2574.13

r60rider · Post by **r60rider** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:20 pm

2606.24

stemikger · Post by **stemikger** » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:20 pm

2406.85