Bogleheads.org

Jeff Albertson

Here's a discussion with Kevin Roose on crypto and NFTs, 34 minutes. Roose auctioned an NFT of a newspaper article he wrote, got $500k. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/13/podcasts/the-daily/nft-bitcoin-cryptocurrency.html https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/03/27/business/13DAILY-column-image/26roo...

Jeff Albertson

I solved this whole problem by not trying to predict investment returns. +1 exactly example: https://ofdollarsanddata.com/the-right-place-the-right-time/ annualized real returns from 1960 to 1980, less than 2% annualized real returns from 1980 to 2000, about 13% from 2020-2040? Maybe try using a fe...

Jeff Albertson

Jiggy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 22, 2021 2:05 pm It's a different, but fun asset to own.

If fun is the objective, you might have more fun with some gallium - https://www.amazon.com/Gallium-Metal-Gr ... ee_s_bmx_6

Jeff Albertson

Thanks for your research. I am wondering whether Google's implementation of an Android phone as a security key using Google prompts is equivalent to using a Yubikey. Apparently for now it only works with Android phones and Google Chrome. I think that his would overcome the weakness of SMS due to a ...

Jeff Albertson

this article might be useful - 'When mom and dad are gone, how best to get rid of a lifetime of possessions'
https://www.washingtonpost.com/realesta ... story.html

Jeff Albertson

also on the Morningstar podcast, 'The Long View' Bill Bernstein: We're Starting to See all of the Signs of a Bubble The author and investment advisor joins us for our 100th episode to discuss his new book, value stocks and inflation, and the current market environment. https://www.morningstar.com/po...

Jeff Albertson

I’ve Never Seen Anything Like This’: Chaos Strikes Global Shipping The pandemic has disrupted international trade, driving up the cost of shipping goods and adding a fresh challenge to the global economic recovery. ... Peloton points to port congestion as a factor behind its delays in delivering it...

Jeff Albertson

This morning the BBC radio program, "Deeply Human", featured psychologist Barry Schwartz discussing "maximizers" vs "satisficers" in the area of dating, rather than investing. Schwartz is also known for his book and TED talk, "The Paradox of Choice – Why More Is Le...

Jeff Albertson

Here's the EIA electricity rate info mentioned by VT: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.php?t=epmt_5_6_a Average Price of Electricity to Ultimate Customers for residential use, in cents/kwh Hawaii 29.14 California 20.45 New England 20.37 U.S average 12.80 Washington state 9.7...

Jeff Albertson

Probably helps if you use at a more complete version of the article - https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/2001a ... 202001.pdf

Jeff Albertson

This might be helpful, 'The Annuity Puzzle', by (Nobel laureate) Richard Thaler (from 2011). https://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/05/business/economy/05view.html?searchResultPosition=1 also: 'The Ages of the Investor: A Critical Look at Life-cycle Investing (Investing for Adults Book 1)', William Bernste...

Jeff Albertson

Blue456 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:22 am No. I use target date fund regardless of the fees. I find that behavioral issues cost more than most target date funds.

A lot of truth here.

Jeff Albertson

'How to Avoid a Climate Disaster: The Solutions We Have and the Breakthroughs We Need' - Bill Gates and Bill McKibben's critical review https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/15/books/review/bill-gates-how-to-avoid-a-climate-disaster.html also, a reading list, 100 Best Behavioral Economics Books of All Tim...

Jeff Albertson

Great post, Valuethinker. When I read these days of SPAC-mania, I’m also reminded of Edward Chancellor’s “Devil Take the Hindmost” and speculative bubbles growing and bursting over centuries. Nonetheless, we invest early and often and soldier on as BHs, tuning out the noise. Bernstein's new book, '...

Jeff Albertson

The only one I can recommend is this one: https://www.npr.org/sections/alltechconsidered/2016/01/08/462250239/when-an-index-card-of-financial-tips-isnt-enough-this-book-is-there Investing, like losing weight, is simple, but for most folks, not easy. There's always a temptation to think you are smart...

Jeff Albertson

I recommend a system that includes a site-specific "salt" added. For example, pick a word you like. Let's say it's football. Obviously football, Football, and Football!69 are poor choices, likely to be found in commonly available "dictionaries" that provide reverse lookup online...

Jeff Albertson

for all you "Boglehead" stockpickers:

Some businesses that advertised during Tom Brady’s first Super Bowl:

AOL
Blockbuster
Radio Shack
Circuit City
CompUSA
Sears
HotJobs
Yahoo
VoiceStream Wireless
Gateway Computers

https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status ... 6076526592

Jeff Albertson

Good discussion on the BBC's 'The Briefing Room' (30 minutes) - There was pandemonium on the US stock market when shares in a chain of video game shops went through the roof. At one point GameStop’s stock, which averaged just seven dollars last year, was valued at more than 480 dollars. The frenzy w...

Jeff Albertson

Looking forward to Michael Lewis' new book, 'The Premonition, A Pandemic Story', due out in May. Last year, when the coronavirus began spreading throughout the United States, Lewis called some of his government sources for “The Fifth Risk.” What he learned was even more disconcerting than the fright...

Jeff Albertson

Despite high debt, inflation in Japan remains low.

Jeff Albertson

Imagine an electric car battery that provides more than 300 miles of range, charges in approximately ten minutes , requires no bulky heating and cooling systems, maintains 80 percent of its charge capacity for 800 cycles (about 240,000 miles), and isn't prone to spontaneous combustion. Such is the ...

Jeff Albertson

Jason Zweig on Gamestop - On Jan. 25, Mr. Mattingly was on Bogleheads.org, one of his favorite websites, which advocates long-term investing. There, Mr. Mattingly stumbled on a reference to GameStop’s wild price moves. ... That movement is Mr. Bogle’s monster love-child. It’s the culmination of 45 y...

Jeff Albertson

Babylon Berlin on Netflix, in German, English subtitles. Not new, it's been out a while. I've gone thru 6 episodes & really enjoy it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uekZpkYf7-E BABYLON BERLIN, SPRING 1929 A metropolis in turmoil. From economy to culture, politics to the underworld – everything ...

Jeff Albertson

In today's Washington Post - "New River Gorge: America’s newest national park is one of West Virginia’s hidden gems"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/travel/2 ... onal-park/

Jeff Albertson

If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians. — Warren Buffett

Jeff Albertson

texasdiver wrote: ↑Sun Jan 17, 2021 5:54 pm
goodenyou wrote: ↑Sun Jan 17, 2021 3:16 pm Nothing new here.
Not for us perhaps. But a lot of people never seem to have gotten the message.

Exactly. Just take a look at the posts on this board. Most are half-baked schemes to beat the market.

Jeff Albertson

Anya Taylor-Joy is a guest on the recent Graham Norton show, starts about 7:45.
https://www.bbcamerica.com/shows/the-gr ... -12--53034

Jeff Albertson

Stefan Thomas, a German-born programmer living in San Francisco, has two guesses left to figure out a password that is worth, as of this week, about $220 million. The password will let him unlock a small hard drive, known as an IronKey, which contains the private keys to a digital wallet that holds...

Jeff Albertson

The academic studies and French-Fama model prove that investing in small cap value provides better returns. So what is the reason why every indexer doesn't do it? I personally want to convert my entire world cap stock index to small cap value index, because studies prove it has provided better retu...

Jeff Albertson

from last year, https://ritholtz.com/2019/04/buy-yourself-a-fking-latte/ It’s a cliché that refuses to die: personal finance guru Suze Orman warned investors last week that if you “waste money on coffee, it’s like ‘peeing $1 million down the drain.’” I disagree, and have repeatedly done so over the ...

Jeff Albertson

don't peek

Jeff Albertson

Samantha Power's husband has a new one coming out, 'Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment Hardcover' (May 18, 2021) https://www.amazon.com/Noise-Human-Judgment-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0316451401/ In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show how noise helps produce errors in many fields,...

Jeff Albertson

The advantage of a simple indexed portfolio is that you don't need to listen to financial porn. Rather, you can spend that time devoted to your family or community.

Jeff Albertson

Check here: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
Fwiw, current rate is 1.2%.

Jeff Albertson

Dr Mark Carney's lectures, well worth the time: Welcome to the 2020 BBC Reith Lectures. In this tumultuous year, our lecturer is a man who brings a truly international perspective to some of the biggest global challenges facing all of us right now. In his series, ‘How We Get What We Value’, he will ...

Jeff Albertson

I know Dave Ramsey and other debt-averse people would advise me ... You're taking advice from this guy? https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/caterers-finance-guru-dave-ramsey-s-holiday-party-told-not-n1251204 https://religionnews.com/2020/12/11/dave-ramsey-christian-financial-guru-ridicules-covid-1...

Jeff Albertson

checkyourmath wrote: ↑Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:08 pm The problem is inflation is at an all time high. This is a difficult environment.

back in the real world:

From November 2019 to November 2020, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers increased 1.2 percent, the same increase as for the period ending October 2020.

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

Jeff Albertson

Is this the hardest investing environment ever? Warren Buffett's advice via a virtual commencement address to the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, for students graduating from Buffett's alma mater on Saturday, December 19. "I would say this to this current year's class: I would love to trade pla...

Jeff Albertson

Time to rebalance into beany babies, tulip bulbs and the South Sea Company.

Jeff Albertson

10-year Annualized REAL Returns Since 1881 (relative to starting CAPE)

https://ritholtz.com/2020/12/10-wednesd ... um=twitter

Jeff Albertson

"There we have it. Value of the global stock markets hits $100 trillion"
https://twitter.com/staffordphilip/stat ... 0978361344

Jeff Albertson

from nineteen years ago - The defined-contribution system is broken; we just haven't realized it yet. While it may be possible to fix it by providing participants with much closer attention to expenses ... it makes more sense to improve the defined-benefit system with equitable vesting, portability ...

Jeff Albertson

FWIW, "JPMorgan lifted its price target to $90 from $80, implying an 86% plunge from Tuesday's close over the next 12 months."
https://markets.businessinsider.com/new ... 1029878536

Jeff Albertson

Professional forecasters say interest rates are going up -
https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/statu ... 1746900992
Someday they might get it right!

Jeff Albertson

For a broader perspective, read William Bernstein's 'Deep Risk.' 'Deep risk: How History informs Portfolio Design' is the third installment in the investing for adults series. This series is not for novices. This booklet takes portfolio design beyond the familiar “black box” mean-variance framework....

Jeff Albertson

I would definately check out Bernstein's "The Ages of the Investor: A Critical Look at Life-cycle Investing (Investing for Adults Book 1) "
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B008C ... tkin_p1_i9

Jeff Albertson

It's been almost exactly 10 years since a number of connected individuals embarrassingly warned Ben Bernanke about inflation due to quantitative easing. https://economics21.org/html/open-letter-ben-bernanke-287.html Before you speculate, consider broadening your sources of information. This is recen...

Jeff Albertson

On not knowing, from yesterday's Ben Carlson's blog: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/11/the-3-most-important-words-in-finance/ A number of years ago Jason Zweig interviewed the late Peter Bernstein and asked him some of the most important things he had to unlearn over the course of his career:...

Jeff Albertson

These, curious elixirs, are recommended on Mark Bittman's blog:
https://curiouselixirs.com/
https://heated.medium.com/the-bittman-t ... 6ad39cadc0

Jeff Albertson

You are not Ray Dalio. Some say he has a net worth of about $20 billion. If all that is in the stock market & the stock market drops 99.9%, he still has $20 million. He can afford to take risk, can you?

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