Search found 3945 matches

by lostdog
Tue Apr 13, 2021 4:18 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: International is in meltdown
Replies: 391
Views: 32877

Re: International is in meltdown

That pretty much sums it up the argument for why always international. There's no true answer there. The more interesting question is whether international makes sense this year in particular. I happen to think the dollar will downtrend later this year, which usually will make emerging markets more...
by lostdog
Tue Apr 13, 2021 1:36 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Heading to the gym. We'll see if we have a melt up coming.
by lostdog
Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

S&P rose by 22 points in the last trading hour of a no news Friday. I’m fine with calling that a “melt up”. It's different than I've seen the phrase used in the past (an accelerating rise that may be a precursor to a crash), but whatever floats your truck boat. :beer Melt up is apparently now j...
by lostdog
Sat Apr 10, 2021 7:54 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

anoop wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:08 am overheard produce guys at the grocery store talking tesla stock price.
top
by lostdog
Sat Apr 10, 2021 7:52 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Mixing Bogle and Ramsey to build my portfolio
Replies: 90
Views: 7744

Re: Mixing Bogle and Ramsey to build my portfolio

Dave Ramsey--> Get out of debt Jack Bogle-->Investing Using these will get you good results and you'll be in the top 10% of wealth in America with a high savings rate and patience. Even with an average salary. Your portfolio looks great. Add bonds when you get closer to your goals. Your goal isn't b...
by lostdog
Fri Apr 09, 2021 5:53 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Hey, Just got back from the gym and missed the melt up.! :moneybag You know, I dont mind paying you a small percent if you promise to go to the gym every weekday 1 hr before end of the trading session ! The melt ups happen when you go to workout haha :sharebeer I usually go earlier in the day. The ...
by lostdog
Fri Apr 09, 2021 5:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: who here is tempted to pullback on stocks?
Replies: 238
Views: 46991

Re: who here is tempted to pullback on stocks?

To answer the original question, yes, I do think about de-risking at some point. However, this is a function of personal net worth rather than market prices. The market going up so rapidly has surely brought a lot of people closer to their ultimate financial goals. So, we have much more to lose by ...
by lostdog
Fri Apr 09, 2021 4:24 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Hey,

Just got back from the gym and missed the melt up.! :moneybag
by lostdog
Fri Apr 09, 2021 1:31 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: CNBC headline - does it serve as a contrarian indicator
Replies: 7
Views: 1481

Re: CNBC headline - does it serve as a contrarian indicator

Mostly likely could be right.

I won't take any action on it.
by lostdog
Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:24 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Perma-Bull Jeremy Siegel- 30% up before a pull back.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/08/jeremy- ... -ends.html

We haven't seen Forester predictions lately.
by lostdog
Thu Apr 08, 2021 10:55 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

I have a confession to make: I panicked yesterday because of these all time highs. Liquidated my entire 401k, including my “fun money” positions, and put it all back into Wellesley, which is where it all was until about 9 months ago. Now I don’t need to watch it gyrate. Noted. :twisted: I thought t...
by lostdog
Thu Apr 08, 2021 10:19 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Hopefully no tapering this afternoon.
by lostdog
Thu Apr 08, 2021 9:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Kookaburra wrote: Wed Apr 07, 2021 11:42 pm Futures are up again. Tomorrow, VTI might cross 10% return YTD.
VXUS-5.82% YTD
VTI-10.61% YTD

VXUS lags per usual... :beer
by lostdog
Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:36 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: 95% equities at 60 need help transitioning to retirement (UPDATE!)
Replies: 30
Views: 4126

Re: 95% equities at 60 need help transitioning to retirement

OP here, I wanted to update and say Thank You to everyone who encouraged me, and provided guidance when I posted this last January(2020) at that time I was 95/5 five years from retirement with 970K and a goal of 1.25m. I immediately transitioned to 80/20 and the timing couldn’t have been better wit...
by lostdog
Tue Apr 06, 2021 12:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

doh! no more soaring.
by lostdog
Tue Apr 06, 2021 11:31 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

We’re almost half way to 4100. Just 14 points to go. We have to work harder on encouraging those with "cash on the sidelines" to invest in the market. Someone should create a post like, "Today is a good day to invest in the US market, and here is why." Here's a reason, the S&...
by lostdog
Mon Apr 05, 2021 10:25 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Seeing the market continue to rise certainly feels good, but I cannot help but wonder how much of the gains we're seeing now are due to the market's expectation of coming inflation, which, if so, means that some of these may be phantom gains. If I held a significant portion of my portfolio in nomin...
by lostdog
Mon Apr 05, 2021 8:42 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Stinky wrote: Mon Apr 05, 2021 8:33 am Wow!

S&P and Nasdaq both up about 0.75% at the open.

The bears continue to be in active retreat.
There was a bear a few weeks ago that said we're going to have another lost decade.

That prediction seemed to propel the markets so far.
by lostdog
Sun Apr 04, 2021 10:10 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: PAS Experience
Replies: 6
Views: 767

Re: PAS Experience

So I decided to go through the ropes with Vanguard's PAS service and sit through a meeting with one of their advisors. Lesson learned, before you go through the meeting, ask if they can give you alternative portfolios besides the ones they present when you go through your second meeting. When I ask...
by lostdog
Sat Apr 03, 2021 7:16 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Safest short-term investment
Replies: 10
Views: 800

Re: Safest short-term investment

Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond Fund.

I think they're releasing an etf version this quarter.
by lostdog
Fri Apr 02, 2021 10:09 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Post your Financial Milestone Announcements Here
Replies: 2277
Views: 270802

Re: Post your Financial Milestone Announcements Here

Atilla wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:13 am Yesterday's market action put us over $2,000,000 net worth for the first time. :beer

It took 50 years to get to $1,000,000 and about 5 more years to get the second million.
Wow! Congratulations!
by lostdog
Fri Apr 02, 2021 10:08 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Post your Financial Milestone Announcements Here
Replies: 2277
Views: 270802

Re: Post your Financial Milestone Announcements Here

We are halfway to the two comma club. Broke $500,000 net worth (home value included) on yesterday's monthly spreadsheet update, no debts. Aiming to retire in ten-ish years, at 62. Many thanks to the contributors and discussions on this site. It sounds trite, but we couldn't have done it without you...
by lostdog
Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:02 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Asia aand Europe are looking good. :moneybag :moneybag :moneybag :moneybag
by lostdog
Fri Apr 02, 2021 8:17 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: What Are You Doing Given Record Stock Market Highs and What Is Your Situation?
Replies: 120
Views: 12598

Re: What Are You Doing Given Record Stock Market Highs and What Is Your Situation?

We made AA change based on our financial situation and goals. Not based on market conditions. During our accumulation phase for many years we were 100/0. When we hit 22x expenses we went to 80/20 because we didn't need to take the risk of 100/0. After that I realized we pretty much won the game and...
by lostdog
Fri Apr 02, 2021 7:50 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: What Are You Doing Given Record Stock Market Highs and What Is Your Situation?
Replies: 120
Views: 12598

Re: What Are You Doing Given Record Stock Market Highs and What Is Your Situation?

We made AA change based on our financial situation and goals. Not based on market conditions. During our accumulation phase for many years we were 100/0. When we hit 22x expenses we went to 80/20 because we didn't need to take the risk of 100/0. After that I realized we pretty much won the game and ...
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 5:22 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Retire with Less Than $1 million?
Replies: 175
Views: 35769

Re: Retire with Less Than $1 million?

Thank you for this thread. The information here is more representative of the norm.
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 5:01 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Vtsax100 wrote: Thu Apr 01, 2021 2:58 pm
Candor wrote: Thu Apr 01, 2021 2:55 pm Looks like a 4000+ close is in the bag. :beer

Nice little melt up in the last few minutes!!

:sharebeer
Hey, I went to the gym and came back to see this. I missed the melt up.
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 4:58 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 22921
Views: 3006966

Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Poor bears. Always getting picked on... :twisted:
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 12:56 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Not 100%, but the whole "Fed will print cash forever, hyperinflation!!!1" is clearly a narrative that is fuelling this irrational frenzy. Chart says it, logic says it, Charlie Munger says it, Michael Burry says it. I'm out. "YoU CaN'T tImE tHE MArKeT!!1" is clearly learned helpl...
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 12:52 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Even Charlie Munger says the next decade we can expect very little returns. https://i.imgur.com/1zP6usG.png This picture speaks a thousand words. At this point it is entirely clear to everyone this is out of whack. "You can't time the market!" seems like learned helplessness at some point...
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 9:27 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Is there a Forester 4000 quote? Yes. Little over a week ago Forester described S&P 500 at 4000 as Mission Impossible 7. Stand by for a new and final prediction from Forester. :sharebeer And where is our "Lost Decade" guy? :wink: They'll show up when there is a massive down day. We'll ...
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 8:35 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Is there a Forester 4000 quote?
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 8:32 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

4000!
by lostdog
Thu Apr 01, 2021 8:32 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Soaring day today.

Please no taper this afternoon. :beer
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:57 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Down it goes.
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:48 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

slowly the air is getting released from the balloon.
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Vtsax100 wrote: Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:42 pm
lostdog wrote: Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:41 pm A taper scare for a bit.
Looks like the taper continues.
Those darn traders taking profits... :twisted:
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 2:41 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

A taper scare for a bit.
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 1:08 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

taper down starting.
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 12:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Ajcorpus wrote: Wed Mar 31, 2021 12:30 pm Almost to 4000! Today might just be the day, let’s hope there is no afternoon taper down, but taper UP bigly 😀
Most of the time it's a taper down.
by lostdog
Wed Mar 31, 2021 10:56 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Anyone increasing international allocation?
Replies: 121
Views: 7615

Re: Anyone increasing international allocation?

World market cap here.

Jack said buy the haystack so I took him literally.
by lostdog
Tue Mar 30, 2021 9:40 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 14378
Views: 1108555

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

We're not in normal times and reality is going to kick in suddenly when stimulus stops. TCJA was a stimulus. We've had several Covid stimulus bills. There's talk of more and infrastructure stimulus. All that stimulus is causing the market to misbehave... Coronavirus Was Supposed to Drive Bankruptci...
by lostdog
Tue Mar 30, 2021 9:48 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Maintaining AA during retirement
Replies: 6
Views: 1035

Re: Maintaining AA during retirement

Since we're very close to winning the game, I just switched to 60/40. We don't need to take high risk anymore. We're all bonds in our tax-deferred accounts and we have 10 years worth of expenses in bonds. I'm out of bond space and we have a very sizable taxable account for stocks. If there is a cras...
by lostdog
Mon Mar 29, 2021 1:06 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 22921
Views: 3006966

Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

case_of_ennui wrote: Mon Mar 29, 2021 12:02 pm
Forester wrote: Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:23 am The 2021-24 Bear Market begins with problems at the periphery (Turkey, hedge funds holding Chinese tech).
Forester you need a new avatar photo! :P

Image
:beer :sharebeer :) :P
by lostdog
Mon Mar 29, 2021 9:36 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard site issues
Replies: 54
Views: 4559

Re: Vanguard site issues

I cannot make an ETF transaction.
by lostdog
Mon Mar 29, 2021 9:25 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard site issues
Replies: 54
Views: 4559

Re: Vanguard site issues

swansong wrote: Mon Mar 29, 2021 8:56 am Anyone else experiencing issues at Vanguard? No quotes available, pop-up says limited trades allowed? Anyone know what the problem is?

Same!

When I try to make an ETF transaction it thinks I'm making an after hours order.
by lostdog
Mon Mar 29, 2021 8:26 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Why are Subarus so popular?
Replies: 114
Views: 6223

Re: Why are Subarus so popular?

My brother is a mechanic and his comment on Subaru is that for the first 100K they are great cars...after that you will wish you had bought the Toyota. Something about head gaskets...GREAT in snow and lots of room and very good value I think. This is true of the older models. Not true of the newer ...
by lostdog
Sun Mar 28, 2021 7:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 22921
Views: 3006966

Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Looks like a big red day tomorrow for US stocks so far.

Asia-Pacific markets are looking good.
by lostdog
Sun Mar 28, 2021 6:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Total Bond vs. Intermediate Term Bond
Replies: 31
Views: 3987

Re: Total Bond vs. Intermediate Term Bond

Buy everything, BNDW... :beer :mrgreen: :twisted: :P